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Feb 12, 2026, 06:25 PM UTC

The biggest airdrop of 2026 could be the $POLY token by Polymarket, with a +$1 billion distribution Key estimates: > Polymarket’s latest valuation: $9–15 billion (with recent funding targeting $12–15B) > Estimated token FDV: at least $10 billion > Airdrop allocation: 10% > Total estimated airdrop value: ~$1 billion - This scale could surpass the recent Hyperliquid airdrop, which was one of the largest distributions in the space User based estimates: > Around 1 million users may be eligible > Simple average: $500–$1,000 - However, due to power-law distribution, the actual outcome may differ: > For active and high volume users: $8,000 – $100,000+ in rewards could be possible Why does this matter? Polymarket is one of the few projects that has been able to attract real users to Web3. An airdrop of this scale could: > Inject significant capital into the ecosystem > Accelerate new user adoption > Become one of the biggest Web3 events of 2026 There is no official announcement regarding the airdrop date yet, but the developments are worth watching closely